Buy the rumor, sell the news

Isn’t that what just happened? Buyers ran the market up yesterday on the “rumor” that Obama would win. As soon as he did, sell, sell, sell! That was some dive today….but on lower volume. This may have been a healthy pullback…..large, but healthy.

With markets overbought and the VIX oversold, it was bound to happen. I’m gonna look for some more down, maybe a gap tomorrow, and then back to a bullish up pattern with all this election stuff dissipating. Take it easy gang…you don’t have to trade every day…cash is a position :!:

Is it over yet?

It’s nice watching television this evening without any political ads….and the Law & Order reruns are ones I don’t remember :)

I sold my UYG position for a 42% gain….didn’t want to risk the reaction day on Wednesday. Besides still sitting on a few QQQQ calls. I did a few trades during the day with S&P emini futures, ES, but otherwise I’m sitting mostly in cash.

Overseas markets are liking that the election is over…futures seem to be happy also! Does the rally continue tomorrow? I’ll sleep on it and trade what I see in the morning. Now I’ll go have nightmares about higher taxes 8O

Vote early, Vote often!

The Stock Trader’s Almanac says the first four days in November are bullish…and futures so far this morning are looking bullish as well.

The most important thing to do today is VOTE. The second thing to do is make money….even if you do have to give it all away in taxes :(

And, as they say in Chicago, the home of dirty politics (and the constituents of one of the candidates), Vote early and vote often ;)

Breakeven!

The Dow down 5, the Naz up 5…the S&P500 down 2, the Russell up 2….let’s call it even…a doji day. But a good day after last week. The markets were in a tight range and very low volume.

Now, what’s the guess on the election? What’s it mean to the markets? Is it priced in? I’m thinking everything is priced in but a McCain win. If, miracles of miracles that should happen, then Wednesday may be a 1,000 point up day. Otherwise, I think it’s in there.

Didn’t place any new trades today, but EYE, UYG and QQQQ calls are still doing their job. I’m over half in cash, biding my time and chart patterns. Let’s see how election Tuesday shapes up :twisted:

Great Week, Lousy Month

Sure am glad to see October go away….and I sure would like to see a repeat of last week again real soon. November begins the market’s best 6 months of seasonal gains ;)

I’m bullish in the intermediate term and especially like IWM, UWM, UYG, XLF, XLK. I’ve got a few QQQQ calls for Jan and Mar expiry also.

Have a few on the individual stocks watchlist….CNK, FEED, SOA, CVI, AGM. That should be enough to play with this week. Happy Trading :!:

We did it!

We actually put 2 back-to-back up days in October!

Happy Halloween!

Happy Halloween!

Up we go!

It was a bit scary about noon today, but after we bottomed out we had a nice move to the upside, continuing from the the last two days. We’re still in search for 2 green days together in the Dow and S&P500, while the Naz and the Russell have had 3 in a row! The Russell 2000 looks the strongest of them all, closing at the high of the day today after making new lows just 3 days ago. C’mon, let’s go for four-in-a-row.

You can play the Russell with IWM and UWM, both the stocks or call options, which both have been working well these 3 days. Those plays along with ES and YM futures have made for a very nice week. ES futures were so volatile today, I didn’t have a trade that lasted more than 15 minutes until the last half hour…and that was because I walked away from my screens when the markets took a big dive. I waited it out and it worked by the close ;)

Did some chart scans this evening and found a few I’m adding to the watchlist: BMII, EYE, ERES, LPNT. Still hanging on to UYG. Also added some stocks into my long-term account: CVS, CVX and MRK. These looked like they have bottomed and seemed like good recession plays.

Sure would like this market go up for another couple of days running up to the election. That’s what the Stock Trader’s Almanac says anyway.

It was a good day

The DJ30 and S&P500 closed in the red but not too far down. Other indexes like the Russell2000, Nasdaq, and NYSE were up and green. And during the day there were a lot of up and down moves to make a trader happy :)

My QQQQ calls and UYG continue their up move and ES futures paid again. Overseas markets have good action. Futures this evening have been rising. If we don’t finish up for the week….it may get back to ugly again :!:

Yippee!

…closing at the high….yeah baby!!! Those bears are shaking in the bushes :-)

I bought IWM and UWM calls about 2 o’clock this afternoon. Within the hour they were up about 60% so I cashed out. Oops, close to a double by the end of the day. Oh well. I’m still in my QQQQ Jan calls and also in UYG. I doubled down last night in UYG and it turned into a big winner. I still see it as a double over the next several months. And again, ES futures were a wonderful play :)

The afternoon today was really something! With no selloff, it then became an amazing sight to watch 500…600…700…what the hell 800….and oh my god 900! But, just look at the Dow chart…we’re right back where we started last Tuesday!

And another thing….the markets have not been able to put two green days together for a month! The Fed will tell us tomorrow if we can do it! So let’s make a proclamation…the markets do not go down any more this week :!: Let’s see if that works :mrgreen:

Timing is everything

Interesting tidbit heard on CNBC today….the S&P500 is down 43% from its highs in October 2007. BUT, if you had not traded the 10 worst days since then, you would be up 4%….now that’s timing ;)

I also did some good timing today with HBAN and XING along with picking up some additional shares of UYG. I’ve also been able to hedge all my bets with S&P500 futures, or ES. Playing the futures keeps me on my toes, since none of the trades have lasted more than 60 minutes…and some as fast as 90 seconds. I did 8 round turns with ES today.

Futures are looking good this evening :!: But then again, they were looking good yesterday…..

Here we go again

Woke up to another ugly market. Boy, futures really deteriorated after going to sleep. Here’s some fuel for the fire…NYU Professor Nouriel Roubini :

“We’ve reached a situation of sheer panic. Yet I fear the worst is ahead of us. Don’t be surprised if policy makers need to close down markets for a week or two in coming days”.

I’m still basically bullish, just not buying much ;)

Crazy time again…

The markets are too crazy to try to predict something or to try to read something into all this technical analysis. Futures had a nice evening, but have turned down as I write….same for Asia markets.

Guess I’ll go practice my chart scanning. Happy trading!

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